At the time of the last Census (1994) in the Republic of Macedonia, fertility had reached the level of 2.2 births per woman and an annual rate of population increase 1.01%. After that, TFR had been declining, and showed 1.9 children per woman in 1998. This number indicates Macedonian position in the group of countries where fertility is below the level of replacement.
In the course of 1999 there was the Kosovo crisis, and this was the time when about 350,000 people from the Serbian Province of Kosovo found their temporary protection in the Republic of Macedonia. This was a shock just as much for them as it was for Macedonia, which is an economically and socially weak state. After the situation had been calmed down in the Province of Kosovo and the Kumanovo Agreement had been signed, conditions for their return were created. The development of the political circumstances gave birth to the so-called “Chinese box” phenomenon (a minority into a minority).
Social sciences are becoming increasingly international in the age of globalization. Major theoretical paradigms are no longer localized in national traditions, but attract followers from all over the world. Reasearh methods and techniques move easily from one country to another along with mobile scholars. There are no barriers to the dissemination of explanatory hypotheses and empirical findings.
As Jack Snyder has recently pointed out, the arguments used to justify both the Bush Doctrine and the war in Iraq – wildly inflated threat assessments, “paper tiger” images of opponents, the domino theory, and the “Big Stick” theory – closely resemble the complex of “myths of empire” that led past challengers for European or global hegemony such as France, Germany, Japan, and the Soviet Union to overstretch their national capacities and encircle themselves with rings of enemies.
So Sir Alexander Cadogan, the senior civil servant in the British Foreign Office, confided to his diary on July 10, 1940. His successors of the 1990s cannot afford these luxuries of ignorance or neglect; the Balkans, it seems, are always with us. In the post - cold war world "that deplorable part of the world" not only persuaded NATO to fire its first shots in anger but has, some would argue, brought about a redefinition of the nature and function of international relations.
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